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Real Estate

[TOP WINNERS] How Much Has Your McLean Home Appreciated?

What was the best year to have purchased a home in McLean for the highest appreciation over the last 20 years? Find out below!

Much in the world has changed in the past 20 years. As we enter a new decade, let's look back at what has happened in the McLean real estate market over the past 20 years and see how real estate has performed as an investment.

Often times we hear people say that buying their home was the best decision they ever made. Other times we hear that a substantial portion of their retirement is tied up in the equity of their home. So how much equity can be in a McLean home in the 22101 zip code purchased after 1999?

We crunched the numbers and calculated the total equity in the typical McLean home in the 22101 zip code purchased every year since 1999. For this analysis, we assumed that the equity in a home would be grow through appreciation and principle reduction. Appreciation is where the value of a home goes up over time as property values increase. Principle reduction is where the remaining balance of your mortgage goes down each month you make a mortgage payment. Click here to sign up for my free monthly real estate market update to stay current on the latest real estate market trends in your neighborhood.

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Median Sold Prices by Year

In Table #1 below, I’ve identified the median sold price for homes that have sold in the 22101 zip code of McLean annually for the past 20 years, going back to 1999. In 1999, the median sold price for a home was $410,000 and in 2019 it was $112,000. This translates to total appreciation of -73% or an annual appreciation rate of about -3.7%.

YearSold Price (Median)
1999$410,000
2000$455,000
2001$519,000
2002$553,000
2003$639,900
2004$755,500
2005$865,000
2006$875,000
2007$897,252
2008$825,000
2009$801,000
2010$845,000
2011$830,000
2012$856,000
2013$950,000
2014$960,000
2015$988,000
2016$1,020,000
2017$1,067,500
2018$1,080,000
2019$1,125,000
72SoldNow

Equity From Appreciation

The table below highlights the amount of equity in a home gained through appreciation. This appreciation was calculated by taking the difference between the 2019 median sales price of $112,000 and the median sales price for each year from since 1999. For example, if you bought a home 20 years ago in 1999 at the median sales price of $410,000 you would have $-29,000 in equity today through appreciation.

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YearAppreciation
1999$715,000
2000$670,000
2001$606,000
2002$572,000
2003$485,100
2004$369,500
2005$260,000
2006$250,000
2007$227,748
2008$300,000
2009$324,000
2010$280,000
2011$295,000
2012$269,000
2013$175,000
2014$165,000
2015$137,000
2016$105,000
2017$57,500
2018$45,000
2019$0
How Much is my Vienna Home Worth?

Equity From Principle Reduction

Assuming you got a loan to purchase your property and continued to make monthly loan payments, over time you would be paying down the loan balance and which would increase the equity in your property. One of the most common loan products is a 30 year mortgage with a 20% down payment. We’ve also included a table of the prevailing interest rate for each year, according to Freddie Mac.

So how is principle reduction calculated? Let’s assume we purchased a property in 1999 for the median sales price of $410,000 with a 30 year conventional loan with a 20% down payment. In 1999, the prevailing interest rate was 7.44%. We would have needed to put a 20% down payment and received a loan for $328,000. The monthly mortgage payment would have been $2,280. Now assuming we made the mortgage payments for the past 20 years, we would have reduced the loan balance by $135,417. This amount would be the equity from principle reduction.

Table #3 below, highlights the equity from principle reduction for each year since 1999.

YearInterest RatePrinciple Reduction
19997.44%$135,417
20008.05%$129,468
20016.97%$146,986
20026.54%$147,861
20035.83%$166,417
20045.84%$177,965
20055.87%$183,352
20066.41%$156,214
20076.34%$143,882
20086.03%$121,940
20095.04%$118,933
20104.69%$115,268
20114.45%$101,521
20123.66%$100,155
20133.98%$89,203
20144.17%$71,474
20153.85%$60,589
20163.65%$47,513
20173.99%$30,743
20184.54%$13,840
20193.94%$0

Total Equity from Appreciation and Principle Reduction

The combination of appreciation and principle reduction has favored buyers who bought 20 years ago. The ability for buyers to ride out the dips in the market has really paid off for them in the long run. As the saying goes, "Buy Low and Sell High," buyers who bought 20 years ago will do VERY well in today's seller's market, perhaps choosing to downsize into a smaller home with less maintenance. For those that have not bought yet, potential buyers can take advantage of today's low interest rates to build equity faster while holding out for future appreciation. With the development happening all around and additional jobs coming to the area, there is still a large potential for long term appreciation in McLean.

YearAppreciationPrinciple ReductionTotal Equity
1999$715,000$135,417$850,417
2000$670,000$129,468$799,468
2001$606,000$146,986$752,986
2002$572,000$147,861$719,861
2003$485,100$166,417$651,517
2004$369,500$177,965$547,465
2005$260,000$183,352$443,352
2006$250,000$156,214$406,214
2007$227,748$143,882$371,630
2008$300,000$121,940$421,940
2009$324,000$118,933$442,933
2010$280,000$115,268$395,268
2011$295,000$101,521$396,521
2012$269,000$100,155$369,155
2013$175,000$89,203$264,203
2014$165,000$71,474$236,474
2015$137,000$60,589$197,589
2016$105,000$47,513$152,513
2017$57,500$30,743$88,243
2018$45,000$13,840$58,840
2019$0$0$0

About Peggy Yee

Peggy Yee is a supervising broker at Frankly Realtors and is a local Top Producer. She has sold over $180 million in sales and was one of Northern Virginia Magazine's Top Realtors since 2015. She has been quoted in the Around Reston Magazine, Washington Post, Money Magazine, Consumer Reports, Zillow, Trulia and Realtor.com. Peggy is 100% committed to making your move the best experience possible! Don't just take our word...Click here to see what Peggy's past clients have to say about the experience working with her from Buyer and Seller Video Testimonials and you'll understand why she is one of the top real estate agents in McLean with dozens of 5 Star Zillow reviews. Click here for Zillow Reviews.

* Data Source: BrightMLS and SmartCharts. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

The views expressed in this post are the author's own. Want to post on Patch?

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