Seasonal & Holidays
Odds Of Coronavirus Exposure At Big HV Parties: Report
Researchers say the odds of at least one person being infected in large events decrease with fewer people present.
HUDSON VALLEY, NY — As coronavirus cases spike in nearly every part of the country, many are wondering how safe it is to travel right now. With Thanksgiving and the holiday season approaching, experts issued warnings.
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention traveling increases the chance of getting and spreading COVID-19. Airports, bus stations, train stations, public transport, gas stations and rest stops are all places travelers can be exposed to the virus in the air and on surfaces.
In addition, health officials advised people to keep festivities virtual or with only members of your own household.
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Georgia Tech University recently released a map that shows the risk level of attending an event, given the event size and location. The map estimates the chance that at least one person with COVID-19 will be present at a gathering.
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As of Monday, the data showed that at an event with 50 people in Westchester County, there is a 48 percent chance. When lowered to 10 people, there is 12 percent chance.
Here are the statistics for the Hudson Valley:
| County | Risk with 50 people | Risk with 10 people |
| Westchester | 48% | 12% |
| Rockland | 58% | 16% |
| Putnam | 44% | 11% |
| Dutchess | 32% | 8% |
| Ulster | 22% | 5% |
| Orange | 44% | 11% |
The map is based on coronavirus case density and available testing. The map creators assumed there are five times more cases than are being reported in places where testing is not as widely available.
With New York officials expecting family gatherings for Thanksgiving next Thursday, Gov. Andrew Cuomo has specifically cautioned against "living room spread."
The data is clear. “Living room spread” is a big reason why COVID is surging. Some steps to lower the risk if you choose to be indoors with people not in your household: -Limit the duration of the visit -Wear masks -Keep distance (even with masks on!)https://t.co/DNRZeoUXEj
— Andrew Cuomo (@NYGovCuomo) November 13, 2020
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