Home & Garden

Hot Tax, Cooler Primary Day: Work Week Forecast for Mid-Hudson Valley

Mild weather should boost voter turnout, according to an analysis.

Enjoy Monday.

"It’s going to be beautiful!" said Bill Potter of Hudson Valley Weather. "We’ll have lots of sunshine for most of the day, and a warm SW breeze. That should translate into highs between 75° and 80° across the region. That’s a solid 15° above average!"

But bring the sweaters back out Tuesday, especially for those planning on voting in the New York Presidential Primary. Monday's high temperatures will be replaced with highs only in the 60s.

Find out what's happening in Mid Hudson Valleyfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

Want details? Click here for an in-depth weather forecast for Mid-Hudson Valley Patch.

AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions predicts that based on past election and weather trends, the mainly tranquil weather should help the turnout.

Find out what's happening in Mid Hudson Valleyfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

New Yorkers tend to have a higher weather sensitivity compared to other voters in the United States, according to the AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions study. The research, conducted by AccuWeather Business Intelligence Manager and Meteorologist Tim Loftus, analyzed overall weather trends and voting data.

"Generally, the warmer the low temperature, the more New Yorkers tend to go out to vote," Loftus said. "New Yorkers are most deterred during windy conditions, especially when rain is present."

Loftus said that New York voters, particularly those over 64, are extremely sensitive to weather; and Republicans notably have a lower turnout when it's colder.

"Over 25 percent of the change in voter turnout in primary elections can be explained by weather in our model," he added.

Here's the National Weather Service's forecast for the rest of the week in western Dutchess:

  • Tuesday Night-Clear. Cooler with lows around 40. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph...diminishing to around 5 mph after midnight.
  • Wednesday-Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
  • Wednesday Night-Mostly clear. Lows around 40.
  • Thursday-Sunny in the morning...then becoming partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
  • Thursday Night-Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
  • Friday And Friday Night-Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Lows in the upper 40s.

MAP: AccuWeather.com

Get more local news delivered straight to your inbox. Sign up for free Patch newsletters and alerts.

More from Mid Hudson Valley