Alpha Monocerotid Meteor Shower Outburst Possible Over Wisconsin

MILWAUKEE, WI — You may never have heard of the Alpha Monocerotid meteor shower, but it’s expected to put on a spectacular show with fiery streaks of light Thursday night as the Earth plows through a narrow but dense trail of dusty comet debris, depending on the weather in southeastern Wisconsin.

The National Weather Service forecast calls for a 40 percent chance of rain, mainly before 1 p.m. Cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 41 by 5 p.m. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 miles per hour becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 miles per hour .

The Alpha Monocerotid meteor shower, which favors the eastern U.S., is usually so sleepy that it typically passes without notice. But this year, circumstances appear excellent for an outburst.

Scientists just announced in a research paper that although the comet that produced the debris is still unknown, there’s a good chance the Alpha Monocerotids will produce a short-lived outburst that could produce anywhere from 100 to 1,000 shooting stars an hour.

On the East Coast, the shower should peak around 11:50 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. The farther west a person lives, the lower the chances of seeing the shooting stars.

Those living in the Rocky Mountains and the desert Southwest should look toward the sky around 9:50 p.m. Mountain Standard Time. The radiant point for the shower will be near the horizon, so any meteors seen will be “earthgrazers” that skim the atmosphere nearly level with the horizon but could leave long, colorful and persistent trails, according to Space.com.

On the West Coast, skywatchers may catch a few meteors around 8:50 p.m. That’s because the radiant point will be low in the sky.

The last time the Alpha Monocerotids produced an outburst was in 1995, but it also happened in 1925, 1935 and 1985, the Farmers’ Almanac reported.

In his book, “Meteor Showers and Their Parent Comets," NASA and SETI (Search for Artificial Intelligence) research scientist Peter Jenniskens described the phenomenon as seen in Spain in 1985:

“Suddenly … three meteors radiated from a point on the border of the constellations Canis Major and Monoceros, 15 degrees away from the position (radiant) given in past accounts. And this time it did not stop after just a few. Meteors started pouring out of Canis Minor, falling left and right, up and down. Bright meteors, too.”

It was a brilliant but quick display. Within 20 minutes, they were falling at a rate of five or more a minute. In another 20 minutes, the show was over.

But, Jenniskens wrote, “emotions were strong when the stream peaked that night on Calar Alto, and we broke down in tears.”

For the best chances to see the rare meteor shower, get as far away as possible from city lights and face toward the east-southeast sky. The meteors can appear anywhere in the sky but can be traced backward to Procyon, a bright yellowish-white star in the constellation Canis Minor, known as the “little dog.” But they actually originate from the constellation of Monoceros, the Unicorn, which is composed of faint stars.

If you miss the Alpha Monocerotid meteor shower, the next opportunity to see shooting stars is Dec. 13-14 with the Geminids meteor shower, regarded as one of the best of the year because they’re often bold, white and bright, and appear at a rate of about 50 or more an hour.